Pakistan has not yet received an official call from India regarding the resumption of talks on Indus Water (IWT), which India was unilaterally suspended on April 23, 2025.
This step followed the Paalgam incident, which led to the death of 26 tourists in Jamo and Kashmir (IOJ & K).
The authorities in Islamabad reported fluctuations in IOJ & K water flows, especially in Maraala Headworks on the Chinab River, where differences from 8 to 10 % are recorded without any consistent style.
Pakistan’s concern about IWT is exacerbated by continuous military tensions, although there is a ceasefire agreement. The Director of Military Operations Association (DGMOS) of both countries held talks on Monday evening, which aims to remove tensions after the PAALGAM attack.
The Indus Water Treaty, which is in the World Bank in 1960, controls the exchanging water between the two countries. According to the treaty, India controls the eastern rivers – losing Gotlij, Bez, and Ravi – while Pakistan’s waters of western rivers are allocated – Endos, Chainab and Jillum.
Over the years, Pakistan has sparked objections to the electrical energy projects in India on the Jhelum and Chenab rivers, as these matters brought before the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and the World Bank.
Legal experts in Pakistan confirm that India cannot suspend the treaty unilaterally, as the World Bank works as a guarantor. However, there was no indication from India regarding the resumption of talks.
The basic agenda of Pakistan includes any future discussions to restore Indus Water, the Kashmir issue, and the alleged support of India for anti -Pakistan elements in Balochistan and Khyber Bakhtongua. Despite the ongoing security concerns, the two countries have maintained a fragile ceasefire, which made it easier through international diplomatic efforts.
On the water front, while the water continues to flow from IOJ & K to Pakistan, noticeable fluctuations, especially in the Chinab River in Marala. A senior Pakistani official stated that there are differences of up to 10 percent in the water flows in Marla. The ability in marala ranges around 0.8 to 0.9 million cos, but modern flows ranged between 25,000 and 33,000 Cusecs.
Modern data on water flows from the main areas also reflects fluctuations. In Tarbela, the flows were 118,900 cusecs, with external flows at 82000 Cusecs. In NoWSHERA, the Kabul River recorded flows and flows out of 40,600 Cusecs, while Khairabad Bridge 157,600 Cusecs witnessed flowing inside and outside.
The Jhelum River in Mangla showed 44,700 Cusecs in flows and 28,000 external flows. Chinab in Marla witnessed flows of 29,400 cos, with external flows at 10,000 Cusecs. No differences have been recorded in the Neelum River, where the water is currently stored in the Mangla tank.
