IslamabadThe consumer price index is expected to range in Pakistan (CPI) in February 2025 between 2.0 % and 2.5 % on an annual basis (YOY), with no significant change in the month of MOM, according to a report issued by Topline Securities brokerage company.
This will achieve the average inflation for the first eight months of the fiscal year 25 to 6.07 %, which is a significant decrease from 27.96 % recorded during the same period in the 24th fiscal year.
In February 2025, food enlargement is expected to decrease by 0.4 % of MOM, driven primarily with a sharp drop in tomato prices by 55 %, 27 % of onion prices, and a 21 % reduction in potato prices. However, the prices of fresh fruits and sugar are expected to increase by 9-15 %.
The housing, water, electricity and gas sector is expected to test a slight decrease by 0.2 % of MOM, due to a 8 % decrease in LNG prices and a 0.5 % decrease in electricity prices, driven by adjusting the high cost of negative fuel (FCA).
Meanwhile, the transportation sector is expected to see a 1.2 % increase due to a 2-4 % increase in gasoline and diesel prices.
Throughout the entire fiscal year 2025, the mediation company maintained inflation forecast at 6.0-7.0 %. However, the report indicates that any major fluctuations in basic commodity prices, such as oil prices that deviate from $ 75 for the current barrel, can lead to changes in inflation expectations.
